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Why Every Age-Grade Calculator Gives You a Different Number

Sven8 min read
Why Every Age-Grade Calculator Gives You a Different Number%RACERECORDS
Why Every Age-Grade Calculator Gives You a Different Number

On 6 January 2024 I ran the Florijn Winterloop in Leusden, 10 English Miles, 57:08 on the chip. I was 46. It is still the best age grade I have ever run — better than any of my marathons.

It scores 82.50%.

It also scores 83.09%. And 83.33%. Same race, same time, same birthday. Three published editions of the same set of tables, three answers, and no arithmetic error anywhere.

Three calculators, three numbers, one race

Here is my Winterloop through every edition of the Alan Jones road tables still in circulation.

81%82%83%84%83.33%vs 44:00AJ 201583.09%vs 43:45AJ 202082.50%vs 43:15AJ 2025One run (57:08, age 46, 10 English Miles) through three editions of the same road tables.
Edition10-mile open standardM46 factorMy age gradeOpen-class equivalent
Alan Jones 201544:000.924283.33%52:48
Alan Jones 202043:450.921683.09%52:39
Alan Jones 202543:150.917682.50%52:26

Those are computed from the published 2015, 2020 and 2025 spreadsheets in Alan Jones's own repository, not from three websites I happened to try. Every row is internally correct. 57:08 never moved.

So if you cross-checked two calculators and got two numbers, you did not make a mistake and neither did the calculators. The tools genuinely disagree, and the disagreement is old, documented and mostly boring. It's worth taking seriously before resolving it, because the reflex — one of these sites must be broken — sends people looking for a bug that isn't there.

There are three real mechanisms. Here they are, biggest first.

Which edition is your calculator running?

Reason one, and the biggest: seven age-grading calculators are live on Howard Grubb's site alone, from WAVA 1994 to the 2025 road tables (Howard Grubb, Athletics Performance). Most disagreements are one edition apart. The road tables get revised every five to ten years, each revision is approved and published, and the old ones never go away — they stay online, indexed, bookmarked and embedded in results software.

Grubb hosts the calculators most of the running world actually uses. The seven are WAVA 1994, WMA 2006/2010, the 2010/2015 lookup, walks 2020, track 2014, track 2023 and road 2025. The 2020 road calculator is still live too, one link further out (MLDR road 2020). They all work. They all give different answers. The newest road version is MLDR road 2025, but the page most often linked from elsewhere on the web is the 2015 lookup, because it has had a decade longer to collect links.

That's not sloppiness on his part. It's an archive doing what an archive does. But it means "the Alan Jones calculator" is not one thing, and two runners can both use it and disagree.

The same split runs through everything else. Marathon Handbook's calculator states it uses "2020 age-graded and world-record data published by Alan Jones" (Marathon Handbook). Runbundle says it uses "the 2025 tables maintained by Alan Jones" (runbundle). RunDida quotes the 2025 road standards outright, down to the 2:00:35 marathon (RunDida). Two of those three are current. One is a revision behind. None of them is wrong.

Why do track factors break a road result?

Reason two is rarer and hits harder. An 18:00 5K run by a 46-year-old man reads 78.63% on the Alan Jones 2025 road tables and 75.87% on WMA 2023 track factors for 5000m — 2.8 points, from nothing but the wrong table family.

I can put that size on it because RaceRecords ships both table families and I can run the same time through each. The road side: open standard 12:49, M46 factor 0.9055. The track side: standard 12:35.36, factor 0.9219. Same eighteen minutes either way.

Road running and track running have separate tables, and they are separate on purpose — a track is flat, accurately measured, paced and sheltered, and the times reflect it. Grade a road race with track factors and you get a systematically harsh number.

Some calculators are explicit about the split. RunDida separates the 2025 road revision from the 2023 track one in its own copy. Others aren't. Runningfastr credits "the tables maintained by Alan Jones" and never names a year or a surface at all (runningfastr) — so if its number disagrees with yours, there is no way to find out why.

What happens when the world record moves?

Reason three sits underneath the first. My ten-mile open standard has gone 44:00 → 43:45 → 43:15 across the three editions, and each drop makes the same run score a little lower. An age-graded percentage is a ratio, and that standard is the bottom of it — roughly, what the world's best can do at your distance.

So that's the whole story of my ten-miler. Nobody rescored my ageing curve. The M46 factor drifted from 0.9242 to 0.9176, worth about a tenth of a point. The rest is the ceiling rising.

I wrote this one up in full after New York, where the same 2:56:19 read 76.4% on the official results page and 74.9% here — a point and a half, all of it the marathon world record. The mechanism is identical at every distance. Only the size changes.

One honest wrinkle on my own example. Alan Jones develops standards directly for 5K, 10K, half marathon and marathon, then interpolates everything else — and the 2025 revision changed the interpolation scheme for exactly those in-between distances (Alan Jones, 2025 Files Readme, 2025). Ten miles is an interpolated distance. So my 0.83-point spread is a slightly messier number than a marathon spread would be. I'd rather say that than pretend the example is cleaner than it is.

So which number is right?

None of them, and that's the wrong question.

83.33% is a true statement about 57:08 measured against a 44:00 standard. 82.50% is a true statement about the same run measured against 43:15. Neither is a fact about me on its own. The pair — number plus edition — is the fact. A percentage with no edition attached is like a temperature with no scale.

So the useful question isn't which site is correct. It's: which of these tools tells you what it used? That's answerable. Open the calculator, look for a year and a surface. If you find them, you have a real number you can reconcile against any other real number. If you don't, you have a number you can never check.

That reframing costs the industry nothing and it's the only version of this that survives contact with the arithmetic. There is no committee that will declare one calculator canonical.

What RaceRecords does about it

Three things, in the order I'd defend them.

One: consistency across your own history. Every road race you log is graded on Alan Jones 2025 — the one you ran last month and the one you ran in 2014. That's the point. If the tables drifted underneath your own history, a rising age-grade line could just be an old race sitting on a soft edition, and a falling one could be the tables tightening. You'd have no way to tell the difference between your trajectory and the tables' trajectory.

I'm careful to call this consistency and not accuracy. Accuracy invites "says who?" Consistency is arithmetic. You cannot compare two performances graded against two different standards, and that holds no matter whose tables you prefer.

Two: transparency. Every score carries the edition it was computed on, visibly, as a chip next to the percentage. Tap it and you get the plain-language note — which tables, why a race organiser's number may read a point or two higher, and a link through to how grading works. Edition changes are logged. Nothing about the number is meant to be taken on trust.

My Florijn Winterloop on RaceRecords, showing 82.50% age-graded and a 52:26 open-class equivalent, with the AJ 2025 edition chip tapped open — the note explains that road results use the Alan Jones 2025 tables, that major races often still grade on an older edition reading one to two points higher, and links through to how grading works.

Three: currency. Alan Jones 2025 is the latest approved road edition, signed off on 10 January 2025 by USATF's Masters Long Distance Running Council. Latest, not best. It's the current edition of a living standard, and it will be superseded.

Why does an old race score lower here?

Grading everything on the current tables has a price, and it lands on old races.

My Winterloop was run in January 2024, when the 2020 tables were the approved edition. On the day, the number in circulation for that run was 83.09%. On RaceRecords it reads 82.50%. I re-scored my own best-ever race downward, in public, on my own site.

So an old race may score slightly differently here than it did on the day. That's real, and I'm not going to bury it. But the point was never to preserve the day's number — it's to let that race be compared to everything else I've run, on one standard. A frozen 83.09% would be a souvenir. It would also be uncomparable to every race I run from here on.

If you want the number your race gave you on the day, keep it. It isn't wrong. It just doesn't belong in the same column as the rest.

What happens when the next edition lands?

I don't know when the next road revision lands and I'm not going to invent a date. The pattern is roughly every five years, but that's a pattern, not a schedule.

What I can tell you is the direction. Editions tend to get tighter, for two compounding reasons. World bests fall, so the denominator shrinks. And the pool of masters performances the single-age bests are fitted to keeps deepening, so the curve gets pulled toward what the best masters athletes are actually doing. Both push scores down slightly. It has run the other way before — the 2010 revision existed partly because the women's tables at longer distances were judged too soft, with several runners scoring over 100% — but tightening is the norm, and age grading has never been the soft option.

So here's the promise, such as it is. When a new edition is approved, RaceRecords moves every result onto it at once. Your 2014 race and your 2027 race stay on one standard. Every score keeps showing which edition produced it. Edition changes go in the log.

A number that shifts should always have a visible reason. That's the entire commitment.

What the number is actually for

If you came here from a results page with two percentages and wanted me to tell you which one is real, I'm sorry — I've given you a third.

But the third one comes with its edition printed next to it, and so does every other race in your history. That's the only thing that makes an age grade useful. A single score is a fact about a table. A sequence of scores computed the same way is a fact about you.

Read the trend, not the second decimal. Ask what edition, not which website. And if you want to see what your own races look like on one standard, that's the whole reason this exists.

Either way, 57:08 is still 57:08.

Sources and what they said

Every claim about which edition a given calculator runs is perishable — that's rather the point of the post. Each one below was checked on the date shown, and any of them can move without notice.

The road-versus-track comparison uses the two factor tables RaceRecords itself ships, Alan Jones 2025 and WMA 2023. Both are described on the methodology page.

Frequently asked questions

Why do two age-grade calculators give different results?
Almost always because they run different editions of the same road tables. Alan Jones 2015, 2020 and 2025 are all still live online. My 57:08 ten-miler at 46 scores 83.33%, 83.09% and 82.50% across those three editions — same time, same age, three approved standards.
Which age-grade calculator is the most accurate?
There is no single correct one — only a number and the edition it came from. The better question is which tool names its tables. Alan Jones 2025 is the latest approved road edition (10 January 2025, USATF Masters LDR Council), so a calculator on that edition is the current one.
Do road and track age-grading tables give different scores?
Yes, and the gap is larger than an edition gap. An 18:00 5K by a 46-year-old man scores 78.63% on the Alan Jones 2025 road tables and 75.87% on WMA 2023 track factors for 5000m — 2.8 points. Road races need the road tables. Tracks are flat, paced and accurately measured, and the standards reflect it.
Which edition does the Howard Grubb calculator use?
It depends which of his pages you open. Howard Grubb hosts seven age-grading calculators, from WAVA 1994 through to the USATF MLDR road 2025 tables. The 2025 road page is the current one, but older pages like the 2015 lookup still work and still collect the most inbound links.
Why does my old race score lower on RaceRecords than it did on the day?
Because every race is graded on the current edition, including old ones. My 2024 ten-miler read 83.09% on the tables approved at the time and reads 82.50% here. The point isn't to preserve the day's number — it's to put every race you've run on one standard so the comparison means something.
What happens to my scores when new age-grading tables come out?
Every result moves onto the new edition at once, so your old and new races always share one standard. Editions tend to get slightly tighter as world bests fall and the masters data deepens, so scores usually drift down a little. The edition applied shows as a chip on every result.

Keep reading

Grading tables: WMA 2023 (track) · Alan Jones 2025 (road). Last updated August 11, 2026.

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